Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 24/07, 17:00
Prediction: Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Toby Samuel
Prediction summary
Winner
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Toby Samuel
Estimated games
23.4Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yu Hsiou Hsu
6-4 (W-L)
Toby Samuel
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yu Hsiou Hsu 1473 · Toby Samuel 1494
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | Toby Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | Toby Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 20% (5) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.6 | 12.8-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 22.8% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2.9
Over 20.5: 70% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 30% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Yi Zhou Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/06 | Alexis Galarneau ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 02/06 | Sander Jong Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 29/05 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Toby Samuel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Mikael Arseneault Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Jakub Mensik Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 25-27 | L |
| 26/06 | Zizou Bergs ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 20/06 | Quentin Halys ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Arthur Fery ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Toby Samuel?
Our model gives 68% to Toby Samuel, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.