Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 24/07, 17:00
Prediction: Rio Noguchi vs Charles Broom
Prediction summary
Winner
Rio Noguchi
Charles Broom
Estimated games
23.7Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rio Noguchi
2-8 (W-L)
Charles Broom
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rio Noguchi
1–0
Charles Broom
(1 last)
- 13 Jul2-1 17-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rio Noguchi 1492 · Charles Broom 1517
| Rio Noguchi | Charles Broom | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Rio Noguchi 1–0 Charles Broom (1).
Statistics
| Rio Noguchi | Charles Broom | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 25% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.8 | 12.1-11 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 31% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.2
Over 21.5: 65% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 35% · 1.83
H2H · Rio Noguchi 1 – 0 Charles Broom (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rio Noguchi 1–0 Charles Broom
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/26 Challenger Lincoln | 2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rio Noguchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Alex Martinez Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Luca Nardi Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Clement Tabur Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Charles Broom
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Marcos Giron ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Dylan Leeman Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 10/06 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Daniel Evans Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 07/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rio Noguchi vs Charles Broom?
Our model gives 50% to Rio Noguchi, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.