Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 22/07, 18:00
Prediction: Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Mees Rottgering
Prediction summary
Winner
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Mees Rottgering
Estimated games
21.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yu Hsiou Hsu
6-4 (W-L)
Mees Rottgering
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yu Hsiou Hsu 1462 · Mees Rottgering 1568
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mees Rottgering (rating 1462 vs 1568).
- Mees Rottgering is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 20% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.3-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-12 | 10.5-8.1 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 27.7% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.9
Over 22.5: 44% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 56% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Yi Zhou Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/06 | Alexis Galarneau ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 02/06 | Sander Jong Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 29/05 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Mika Brunold Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Mees Rottgering
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Timo Legout M25 Louisville |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Lev Seidman M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Russell Lokko M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Aidan Kim M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Billy Suarez M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Peter Buldorini Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Mees Rottgering?
Our model gives 55% to Mees Rottgering, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.