Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 22/07, 19:30
Prediction: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Charles Broom
Zhizhen Zhang
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Charles Broom
4-6 (W-L)
Zhizhen Zhang
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charles Broom 1499 · Zhizhen Zhang 1529
| Charles Broom | Zhizhen Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Charles Broom | Zhizhen Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.9 | 12.9-12 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 10.7 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 78.8% |
| Break % | 28% | 26.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.4
Over 22.5: 60% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 40% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charles Broom
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Marcos Giron ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Dylan Leeman Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 10/06 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Daniel Evans Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 07/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/06 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Zhizhen Zhang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Justin Boulais Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Henry Searle Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Roman Safiullin Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Jaime Faria Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 14/06 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Mark Ceban Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang?
Our model gives 60% to Zhizhen Zhang, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.