Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 21/07, 23:00
Prediction: James McCabe vs Duncan Chan
Prediction summary
Winner
James McCabe
Duncan Chan
Estimated games
22.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
James McCabe
3-7 (W-L)
Duncan Chan
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James McCabe 1487 · Duncan Chan 1523
| James McCabe | Duncan Chan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| James McCabe | Duncan Chan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.7 | 11.6-11.2 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 30.1% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 47% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 53% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James McCabe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Roman Safiullin Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Rhys Lawlor Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Zizou Bergs ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 07/06 | Sander Jong ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Coleman Wong ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Duncan Chan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Timo Legout M25 Laval |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Nicola Ion M25 Laval |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Braden Shick M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ryan Colby M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Ozan Baris M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Pavle Marinkov M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Jie Cui M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James McCabe vs Duncan Chan?
Our model gives 56% to James McCabe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.