Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 21/07, 23:00
Prediction: Millen Hurrion vs Liam Draxl
Prediction summary
Winner
Millen Hurrion
Liam Draxl
Estimated games
21.7Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Millen Hurrion
6-4 (W-L)
Liam Draxl
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Millen Hurrion
0–1
Liam Draxl
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Millen Hurrion 1510 · Liam Draxl 1513
| Millen Hurrion | Liam Draxl | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Millen Hurrion 0–1 Liam Draxl (1).
Statistics
| Millen Hurrion | Liam Draxl | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.4 | 11.3-10.2 |
| Aces | 2 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 51% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 49% · 1.80
H2H · Millen Hurrion 0 – 1 Liam Draxl (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Millen Hurrion 0–1 Liam Draxl
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/22 M15 Vero Beach | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Millen Hurrion
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Renta Tokuda Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Aleksa Ciric M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Luca Pow M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Jules Leroux M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Justin Boulais M25 Laval |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 25/05 | Harold Mayot Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Liam Draxl
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/07 | James Trotter Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 10/07 | Keegan Rice M25 Laval |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Nicolas Arseneault M25 Laval |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Stephen Slocombe M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Remy Bertola Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/06 | Adam Walton Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Braden Shick Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Millen Hurrion vs Liam Draxl?
Our model gives 66% to Liam Draxl, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.