Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 20/07, 19:30

Prediction: Renta Tokuda vs Millen Hurrion

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Renta Tokuda Millen Hurrion
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Renta Tokuda 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLWWWLLL
Millen Hurrion 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Renta Tokuda 1486 · Millen Hurrion 1474
Renta TokudaMillen Hurrion
Our model52%48%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Renta TokudaMillen Hurrion
Win %40%30%
Win % · Hard 44% (9) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1-1.20.8-1.4
Games (G-P)11-10.610.1-11
Aces2.12.9
Double faults1.63.6
1st serve %70.4%67.6%
Break %42.9%34.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Renta Tokuda

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/07 Kenta Miyoshi
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
2-1 18-12 W
12/07 Alexander Rozin
Challenger Granby · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
19/06 Naoki Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-1 4-6 L
18/06 Shunsuke Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
16/06 Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
10/06 Shu Matsuoka
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 14-15 L
04/05 Mark Lajal
Challenger Wuxi · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
27/04 Ognjen Milic
Challenger Jiujiang · Clay
1-2 11-18 L
20/04 Marat Sharipov
Challenger Gwangju · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
19/04 Woobin Shin
Challenger Gwangju · Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Millen Hurrion

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/07 Kaylan Bigun
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
17/07 Aleksa Ciric
M25 Louisville
0-2 6-13 L
16/07 Luca Pow
M25 Louisville
2-0 12-3 W
15/07 Jules Leroux
M25 Louisville
2-0 12-5 W
08/07 Justin Boulais
M25 Laval
0-2 6-12 L
13/06 Soonwoo Kwon
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
08/06 Hamish Stewart
Challenger Ilkley · Grass
1-2 14-13 L
02/06 Robert Strombachs
Challenger Centurion · Hard
1-2 16-19 L
25/05 Harold Mayot
Challenger Centurion · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
08/05 Anton Matusevich
M25 Nottingham
0-2 8-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Renta Tokuda vs Millen Hurrion?

Our model gives 53% to Renta Tokuda, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.