Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 20/07, 19:00
Prediction: Duncan Chan vs Cesar Bouchelaghem
Prediction summary
Winner
Duncan Chan
Cesar Bouchelaghem
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Duncan Chan
3-7 (W-L)
Cesar Bouchelaghem
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Duncan Chan 1498 · Cesar Bouchelaghem 1555
| Duncan Chan | Cesar Bouchelaghem | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cesar Bouchelaghem (rating 1498 vs 1555).
Statistics
| Duncan Chan | Cesar Bouchelaghem | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.9 | 12.1-9.8 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 67% |
| Break % | 34.7% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Duncan Chan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Timo Legout M25 Laval |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Nicola Ion M25 Laval |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Braden Shick M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ryan Colby M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Ozan Baris M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Pavle Marinkov M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Jie Cui M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/11 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Drummondville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Cesar Bouchelaghem
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Hlib Bohach Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Leo Vithoontien Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 04/07 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Ali Yazdani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Billy Blaydes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Duncan Chan vs Cesar Bouchelaghem?
Our model gives 51% to Duncan Chan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.