Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 20/07, 18:00
Prediction: Garrett Johns vs Enzo Aguiard
Prediction summary
Winner
Garrett Johns
Enzo Aguiard
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Garrett Johns
4-6 (W-L)
Enzo Aguiard
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Garrett Johns 1473 · Enzo Aguiard 1542
| Garrett Johns | Enzo Aguiard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enzo Aguiard (rating 1473 vs 1542).
Statistics
| Garrett Johns | Enzo Aguiard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12.3 | 13.9-12.6 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 71% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Garrett Johns
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Benjamin Thomas George Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Blake Ellis Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Olaf Pieczkowski Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 11/05 | Eero Vasa Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Francisco Rocha Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/05 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Enzo Aguiard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Strong Kirchheimer Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/07 | Aniss Rafiq Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 28/06 | Justin Boulais Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Andrew Fenty M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Blake Ellis M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/06 | William Manning M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Adria Soriano Barrera M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 27/05 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Garrett Johns vs Enzo Aguiard?
Our model gives 52% to Enzo Aguiard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.