Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 20/07, 18:00
Prediction: Daniel Milavsky vs Anton Shepp
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Milavsky
Anton Shepp
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Milavsky
5-5 (W-L)
Anton Shepp
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Milavsky 1513 · Anton Shepp 1572
| Daniel Milavsky | Anton Shepp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anton Shepp (rating 1513 vs 1572).
Statistics
| Daniel Milavsky | Anton Shepp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.9 | 11.9-9.1 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 76% |
| Break % | 59.9% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Milavsky
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/06 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Lucas Marionneau M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Anton Shepp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Alexander Rozin Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Coleman Wong Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Niels McDonald M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/06 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Oskar Jansson M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/05 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 16/05 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 15/05 | Isaac Becroft M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Arjun Mehrotra M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Milavsky vs Anton Shepp?
Our model gives 51% to Anton Shepp, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.