Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 21/07, 17:00
Prediction: Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Friend
Prediction summary
Winner
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Jay Friend
Estimated games
22Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yu Hsiou Hsu
6-4 (W-L)
Jay Friend
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yu Hsiou Hsu 1463 · Jay Friend 1552
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jay Friend (rating 1463 vs 1552).
- Jay Friend is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-12.3 | 12.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 32.4% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.5
Over 22.5: 47% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 53% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Yi Zhou Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/06 | Alexis Galarneau ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 02/06 | Sander Jong Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 29/05 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Mika Brunold Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 26/05 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Jay Friend
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 11/07 | Keegan Rice M25 Laval |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Strong Kirchheimer M25 Laval |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Cole Thurgur M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Eloi Roux M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Alex Martinez Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 29/06 | Justin Boulais Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 28/06 | Charlie Camus Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Friend?
Our model gives 59% to Jay Friend, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.