Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 21/07, 17:00
Prediction: Tyler Zink vs Zhizhen Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Tyler Zink
Zhizhen Zhang
Estimated games
24.9Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tyler Zink
5-5 (W-L)
Zhizhen Zhang
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tyler Zink 1508 · Zhizhen Zhang 1544
| Tyler Zink | Zhizhen Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tyler Zink dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 47.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Tyler Zink | Zhizhen Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (3) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-12.4 | 12.9-12.1 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 10.7 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 78.6% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 27% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +3.4
Over 21.5: 72% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 28% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tyler Zink
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 08/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Landon Ardila Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Colton Smith Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Ronald Hohmann Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Blake Ellis Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/05 | Raul Brancaccio ATP Geneva · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Zhizhen Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Justin Boulais Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Henry Searle Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Roman Safiullin Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Jaime Faria Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 14/06 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Mark Ceban Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tyler Zink vs Zhizhen Zhang?
Our model gives 61% to Zhizhen Zhang, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.