Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 19/07, 21:30
Prediction: Ben Jones vs Kokoro Isomura
Prediction summary
Winner
Ben Jones
Kokoro Isomura
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ben Jones
5-5 (W-L)
Kokoro Isomura
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ben Jones 1433 · Kokoro Isomura 1514
| Ben Jones | Kokoro Isomura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kokoro Isomura (rating 1433 vs 1514).
- Kokoro Isomura is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ben Jones | Kokoro Isomura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-14 | 11-11.1 |
| Aces | 7 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 14.2% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 50% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 50% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ben Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/06 | Yi Zhou Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 31/05 | Keegan Smith Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/04 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 12/04 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Busan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/04 | Yuki Mochizuki Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 22/03 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Split · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/03 | Sergi Perez Contri Challenger Zadar · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/03 | Filippo Romano Challenger Cherbourg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Kokoro Isomura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Alexander Rozin Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Hunter Heck Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Naoto Tomizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Maximus Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 13/06 | Pawit Sornlaksup M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Hanyi Liu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Evan Zhu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ben Jones vs Kokoro Isomura?
Our model gives 61% to Kokoro Isomura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.