Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 19/07, 21:00
Prediction: James Trotter vs Guillaume Dalmasso
Prediction summary
Winner
James Trotter
Guillaume Dalmasso
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
James Trotter
5-5 (W-L)
Guillaume Dalmasso
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Trotter 1486 · Guillaume Dalmasso 1556
| James Trotter | Guillaume Dalmasso | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guillaume Dalmasso (rating 1486 vs 1556).
- Guillaume Dalmasso is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Guillaume Dalmasso makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| James Trotter | Guillaume Dalmasso | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-13.8 | 12.3-10.6 |
| Aces | 7.9 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 79.3% |
| Break % | 34.4% | 53.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2
Over 21.5: 64% · 1.72
Under 21.5: 36% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Trotter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Benjamin Thomas George Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 13-16 | W |
| 12/07 | Jared Horwood Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Ronit Karki Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Karl Poling M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Adam Walton Challenger Busan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/04 | Jake Delaney Challenger Busan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Guillaume Dalmasso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mikael Arseneault Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/07 | Volodymyr Gurenko Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Alberto Barroso Campos Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Luc Fomba M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Valentin Lapalu M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Filip Peliwo M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Tom Zeuch M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/06 | Petros Tsitsipas M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Trotter vs Guillaume Dalmasso?
Our model gives 54% to James Trotter, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.