Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 19/07, 21:00
Prediction: Millen Hurrion vs Kaylan Bigun
Prediction summary
Winner
Millen Hurrion
Kaylan Bigun
Estimated games
21.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Millen Hurrion
5-5 (W-L)
Kaylan Bigun
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Millen Hurrion 1451 · Kaylan Bigun 1562
| Millen Hurrion | Kaylan Bigun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaylan Bigun (rating 1451 vs 1562).
- Kaylan Bigun is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Millen Hurrion | Kaylan Bigun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.9 | 12.7-9.9 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 48.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.2
Over 22.5: 42% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 58% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Millen Hurrion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Aleksa Ciric M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Luca Pow M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Jules Leroux M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Justin Boulais M25 Laval |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 25/05 | Harold Mayot Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Anton Matusevich M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Alex Knaff M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
Kaylan Bigun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Vignesh Gogineni M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Andrew Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Gus Grumet M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Jerry Roddick M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Volodymyr Gurenko M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/06 | Noah Johnston M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 31/05 | Amit Vales M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 30/05 | Lucas Marionneau M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Millen Hurrion vs Kaylan Bigun?
Our model gives 58% to Kaylan Bigun, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.