Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 19/07, 19:00
Prediction: Garrett Johns vs Benjamin Thomas George
Prediction summary
Winner
Garrett Johns
Benjamin Thomas George
Estimated games
21.8Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Garrett Johns
5-5 (W-L)
Benjamin Thomas George
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Garrett Johns 1479 · Benjamin Thomas George 1452
| Garrett Johns | Benjamin Thomas George | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Benjamin Thomas George makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Garrett Johns | Benjamin Thomas George | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.3 | 9.5-12 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 61% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +2.3
Over 19.5: 65% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 35% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Garrett Johns
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Blake Ellis Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Olaf Pieczkowski Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 11/05 | Eero Vasa Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Francisco Rocha Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/05 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Michalis Sakellaridis Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Benjamin Thomas George
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | James Trotter Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Matthew Thomson M25 Laval |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Drazen Petrovic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Matias Ponce de Leon Gomila M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Matias Ponce de Leon Gomila M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Dmitrii Shirokii M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Garrett Johns vs Benjamin Thomas George?
Our model gives 67% to Garrett Johns, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.