Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 19/07, 19:00
Prediction: Alexander Rozin vs Anton Shepp
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Rozin
Anton Shepp
Estimated games
21.4Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Rozin
7-3 (W-L)
Anton Shepp
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Rozin 1533 · Anton Shepp 1561
| Alexander Rozin | Anton Shepp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Anton Shepp dominates on serve: 6 aces and 47.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Alexander Rozin | Anton Shepp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.6 | 11.6-8.5 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 77% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.1
Over 22.5: 43% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 57% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Rozin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Renta Tokuda Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Karl Poling M25 Laval |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 28/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Jack Satterfield M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Vignesh Gogineni M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Emon Van Loben Sels M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
Anton Shepp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Coleman Wong Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Niels McDonald M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/06 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Oskar Jansson M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/05 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 16/05 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 15/05 | Isaac Becroft M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Arjun Mehrotra M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/05 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Rozin vs Anton Shepp?
Our model gives 54% to Anton Shepp, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.