Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 19/07, 18:00
Prediction: Daniel Milavsky vs Thomas Fancutt
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Milavsky
Thomas Fancutt
Estimated games
21.8Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Milavsky
4-6 (W-L)
Thomas Fancutt
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Milavsky 1488 · Thomas Fancutt 1492
| Daniel Milavsky | Thomas Fancutt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daniel Milavsky | Thomas Fancutt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.6 | 11.3-12.1 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 59.9% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 52% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 48% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Milavsky
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/06 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Lucas Marionneau M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Thomas Fancutt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Jie Cui Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 22/06 | Dimitar Kisimov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/06 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Volodymyr Uzhylovskyi Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/05 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Lucas Poullain M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Milavsky vs Thomas Fancutt?
Our model gives 61% to Daniel Milavsky, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.