Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 19/07, 20:00
Prediction: Renta Tokuda vs Kenta Miyoshi
Prediction summary
Winner
Renta Tokuda
Kenta Miyoshi
Estimated games
21.6Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Renta Tokuda
4-6 (W-L)
Kenta Miyoshi
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Renta Tokuda 1453 · Kenta Miyoshi 1550
| Renta Tokuda | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kenta Miyoshi (rating 1453 vs 1550).
- Kenta Miyoshi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Renta Tokuda | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.7 | 12.2-9.7 |
| Aces | 2 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 72% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 51% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 49% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Renta Tokuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Alexander Rozin Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 18/06 | Shunsuke Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 04/05 | Mark Lajal Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 20/04 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/04 | Woobin Shin Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/04 | Coleman Wong Challenger Busan · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Kenta Miyoshi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Karl Poling Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 12/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Keegan Rice M25 Laval |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/07 | Timo Legout M25 Laval |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/07 | Karl Poling M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Justin Boulais M25 Laval |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Stephane Pierre-Jo Kamendje M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Vignesh Gogineni M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Nav Dayal M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Renta Tokuda vs Kenta Miyoshi?
Our model gives 64% to Kenta Miyoshi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.