Tennis · M15 Gubbio · 19/07, 18:15
Prediction: Pierluigi Basile vs Daniele Rapagnetta
Prediction summary
Winner
Pierluigi Basile
Daniele Rapagnetta
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Pierluigi Basile
6-4 (W-L)
Daniele Rapagnetta
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pierluigi Basile 1559 · Daniele Rapagnetta 1547
| Pierluigi Basile | Daniele Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Pierluigi Basile | Daniele Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-10.4 | 11.4-9.3 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76.5% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pierluigi Basile
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Lorenzo Beraldo M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Marcello Serafini M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Gabriele Vulpitta M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Elmer Moller Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 08/06 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Daniele Rapagnetta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Pietro Marino M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Lorenzo Rottoli M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Pieter De Lange M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Matthew William Donald M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pierluigi Basile vs Daniele Rapagnetta?
Our model gives 59% to Pierluigi Basile, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.