Tennis · M15 Gubbio · 17/07, 21:00
Prediction: Daniele Rapagnetta vs Maximilian Homberg
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniele Rapagnetta
Maximilian Homberg
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Daniele Rapagnetta
7-3 (W-L)
Maximilian Homberg
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniele Rapagnetta 1507 · Maximilian Homberg 1547
| Daniele Rapagnetta | Maximilian Homberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maximilian Homberg (rating 1507 vs 1547).
Statistics
| Daniele Rapagnetta | Maximilian Homberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.1 | 11.5-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 45.9% | 56% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniele Rapagnetta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Lorenzo Rottoli M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Pieter De Lange M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Matthew William Donald M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Gabriele Piraino M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
Maximilian Homberg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Niccolo Ciavarella M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Peter Buldorini M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Store |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 26/06 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Mak Mikovic M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Marko Retelj M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/05 | Khumoyun Sultanov M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Bor Artnak M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Alessandro Bellifemine M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Max Pade M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniele Rapagnetta vs Maximilian Homberg?
Our model gives 53% to Daniele Rapagnetta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.