Tennis · M15 Gubbio · 17/07, 10:00
Prediction: Stefano D'Agostino vs Pierre Antoine Tailleu
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefano D'Agostino
Pierre Antoine Tailleu
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Stefano D'Agostino
8-2 (W-L)
Pierre Antoine Tailleu
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefano D'Agostino 1542 · Pierre Antoine Tailleu 1537
| Stefano D'Agostino | Pierre Antoine Tailleu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Stefano D'Agostino dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 49.6% break avg.
- Pierre Antoine Tailleu dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 49% break avg.
- Note: Stefano D'Agostino makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Pierre Antoine Tailleu makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Stefano D'Agostino | Pierre Antoine Tailleu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.7 | 12.4-11.8 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.6% | 72.7% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefano D'Agostino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Vito Antonio Darderi M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Store |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Michael Savano M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Maximilian Figl M15 Store |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Piotr Galus M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Store |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Federico Iannaccone M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Iliyan Radulov M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Pierre Antoine Tailleu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Andrea De Marchi M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Federico Guarducci M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/07 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Dan Added M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 02/07 | Seydina Andre M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Mariano David Cassan M25 Montauban · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Mika Petkovic M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Antoine Walch M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefano D'Agostino vs Pierre Antoine Tailleu?
Our model gives 63% to Stefano D'Agostino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.