Tennis · M15 Gubbio · 17/07, 18:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Beraldo vs Pierluigi Basile
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Beraldo
Pierluigi Basile
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Beraldo
4-6 (W-L)
Pierluigi Basile
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Beraldo 1505 · Pierluigi Basile 1541
| Lorenzo Beraldo | Pierluigi Basile | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Beraldo | Pierluigi Basile | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9 | 13-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 38.6% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Beraldo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Gilberto Ravasio M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Gabriele Maria Piano M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Christian Sigsgaard M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Iannis Miletich M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/06 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Samuele Pieri M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Luigi Valletta M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/05 | Filippo Pecorini M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/04 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Pierluigi Basile
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Marcello Serafini M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Gabriele Vulpitta M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Elmer Moller Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 08/06 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/05 | Lucio Ratti M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Beraldo vs Pierluigi Basile?
Our model gives 71% to Pierluigi Basile, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.