Tennis · M15 Gubbio · 17/07, 10:00
Prediction: Gabriele Maria Noce vs Pietro Marino
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Maria Noce
Pietro Marino
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Maria Noce
7-3 (W-L)
Pietro Marino
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gabriele Maria Noce
0–1
Pietro Marino
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Maria Noce 1508 · Pietro Marino 1516
| Gabriele Maria Noce | Pietro Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Gabriele Maria Noce 0–1 Pietro Marino (1).
Statistics
| Gabriele Maria Noce | Pietro Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10 | 11.1-10 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Gabriele Maria Noce 0 – 1 Pietro Marino (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gabriele Maria Noce 0–1 Pietro Marino
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/21 ITF M15 Perugia | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Maria Noce
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Filippo Alfano M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Jakub Nicod M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Dax Donders M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Brian Bozemoj M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Savva Rybkin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Milan Ristov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Pietro Marino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Gabriele Pennaforti M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Rohan Mehra M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Hazem Naw M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Sydney Zick M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Pavel Lagutin M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Tobia Grandinetti M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Maria Noce vs Pietro Marino?
Our model gives 51% to Pietro Marino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.