Tennis · W35 Sao Paulo · 19/07, 16:00
Prediction: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Oceane Babel
Prediction summary
Winner
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Oceane Babel
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
6-4 (W-L)
Oceane Babel
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 1560 · Oceane Babel 1621
| Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | Oceane Babel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oceane Babel (rating 1560 vs 1621).
Statistics
| Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | Oceane Babel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.9-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-10.8 | 13.1-7 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 57.7% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Francesca Mattioli W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Luciana Perry W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Theadora Rabman W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Maya Iyengar W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Hiroko Kuwata W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Noelia Zeballos W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
Oceane Babel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Daria Egorova W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Carolina Alves W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Josefina Estevez W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Marjorie Souza W15 Rio Claro |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Maria Camila Torres Murcia W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/07 | Beatriz Guerra W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Martina Colmegna W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Oceane Babel?
Our model gives 56% to Oceane Babel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.