Tennis · W35 Sao Paulo · 18/07, 15:00
Prediction: Daria Egorova vs Oceane Babel
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Egorova
Oceane Babel
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Egorova
4-6 (W-L)
Oceane Babel
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Egorova 1578 · Oceane Babel 1596
| Daria Egorova | Oceane Babel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Daria Egorova makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Daria Egorova | Oceane Babel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.3 | 12.1-7.2 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 6 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 56.7% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Egorova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Luciana Moyano W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Nina Vargova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 20/06 | Luna Vujovic W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 19/06 | Diae El Jardi W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Warda Ait El Bachir W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Nina Vargova W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Emma Jackson W35 Boca Raton |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Oceane Babel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Carolina Alves W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Josefina Estevez W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Marjorie Souza W15 Rio Claro |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Maria Camila Torres Murcia W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/07 | Beatriz Guerra W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Martina Colmegna W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Federica Sacco W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Egorova vs Oceane Babel?
Our model gives 57% to Daria Egorova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.