Tennis · W35 Sao Paulo · 17/07, 17:00
Prediction: Daria Egorova vs Giorgia Pedone
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Egorova
Giorgia Pedone
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Egorova
4-6 (W-L)
Giorgia Pedone
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Egorova 1580 · Giorgia Pedone 1477
| Daria Egorova | Giorgia Pedone | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Egorova (rating 1580 vs 1477).
- Daria Egorova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Daria Egorova makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Daria Egorova | Giorgia Pedone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-11 | 9.2-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 56.9% | 54.1% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Egorova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Luciana Moyano W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Nina Vargova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 20/06 | Luna Vujovic W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 19/06 | Diae El Jardi W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Warda Ait El Bachir W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Nina Vargova W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Emma Jackson W35 Boca Raton |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 28/04 | Didi Bredberg Canizares W35 Boca Raton |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Giorgia Pedone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Marjorie Souza W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Sara Cakarevic W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Jule Niemeier W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Egorova vs Giorgia Pedone?
Our model gives 57% to Daria Egorova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.