Tennis · W35 Sao Paulo · 18/07, 15:00
Prediction: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Prediction summary
Winner
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
6-4 (W-L)
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 1558 · Lucciana Perez Alarcon 1533
| Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | Lucciana Perez Alarcon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | Lucciana Perez Alarcon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.5 | 12-6.9 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 54.2% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Francesca Mattioli W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Luciana Perry W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Theadora Rabman W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Maya Iyengar W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Hiroko Kuwata W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Noelia Zeballos W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Camila Markus W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Carolina Xavier Laydner W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Chiara Di Genova W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Radka Zelnickova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Amy Stevens W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Isabelle Cherny W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Andreea Prisacariu W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon?
Our model gives 64% to Lucciana Perez Alarcon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.