Tennis · W35 Sao Paulo · 17/07, 18:30

Prediction: Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Lucciana Perez Alarcon Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lucciana Perez Alarcon 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWLLWW
Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lucciana Perez Alarcon 1538 · Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele 1542
Lucciana Perez AlarconJustina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
Our model49%51%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Lucciana Perez AlarconJustina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
Win %70%70%
Win % · Clay 63% (8) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.71.4-0.8
Games (G-P)12-7.311.6-8.8
Aces0.80.6
Double faults2.82.1
1st serve %62.9%60.7%
Break %55.6%45.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lucciana Perez Alarcon

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Carolina Xavier Laydner
W35 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Chiara Di Genova
W35 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-4 W
22/06 Radka Zelnickova
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
20/06 Beatrise Zeltina
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
1-2 11-14 L
19/06 Nadia Podoroska
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-1 14-10 W
18/06 Amy Stevens
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
17/06 Isabelle Cherny
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-0 12-0 W
14/06 Nadia Podoroska
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
1-2 16-15 L
13/06 Andreea Prisacariu
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
12/06 Elena Korokozidi
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
W35 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-7 W
25/06 Camila Romero
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
24/06 Romina Ccuno
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
23/06 Marjorie Souza
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
21/06 Antonia Rivera
W15 Luque · ~Clay
0-2 10-14 L
20/06 Maria Florencia Urrutia
W15 Luque · ~Clay
2-1 16-15 W
19/06 Romina Ccuno
W15 Luque · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
18/06 Ana Julieta Lopez Ocampos
W15 Luque · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
17/06 Catalina Delmas Schaerer
W15 Luque · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
09/06 Julia Konishi Camargo Silva
W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele?

Our model gives 66% to Lucciana Perez Alarcon, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.