Tennis · W35 Sao Paulo · 17/07, 18:30
Prediction: Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
8-2 (W-L)
Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucciana Perez Alarcon 1538 · Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele 1542
| Lucciana Perez Alarcon | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lucciana Perez Alarcon | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-7.3 | 11.6-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 55.6% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Carolina Xavier Laydner W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Chiara Di Genova W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Radka Zelnickova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Amy Stevens W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Isabelle Cherny W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Andreea Prisacariu W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Elena Korokozidi W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Camila Romero W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Romina Ccuno W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Marjorie Souza W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Antonia Rivera W15 Luque · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Romina Ccuno W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Ana Julieta Lopez Ocampos W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Catalina Delmas Schaerer W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele?
Our model gives 66% to Lucciana Perez Alarcon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

