Tennis · W35 Sao Paulo · 17/07, 18:30
Prediction: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Prediction summary
Winner
Martina Capurro Taborda
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Martina Capurro Taborda
5-5 (W-L)
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Martina Capurro Taborda
4–0
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martina Capurro Taborda 1548 · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 1494
| Martina Capurro Taborda | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martina Capurro Taborda (rating 1548 vs 1494).
- Head-to-head: Martina Capurro Taborda 4–0 Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez (4).
Statistics
| Martina Capurro Taborda | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.5 | 12.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Martina Capurro Taborda 4 – 0 Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Martina Capurro Taborda 4–0 Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/26 W35 Junin | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/10/25 ITF W35 Neuquen | 2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 18/09/25 ITF W15 Lujan | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/09/25 ITF W15 Sao Luis | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martina Capurro Taborda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Ana Candiotto W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Camila Romero W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Berfu Cengiz W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Despina Papamichail W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Petra Sedlackova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Arantxa Rus W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Mina Hodzic W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Carolina Alves W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/06 | Alena Kovackova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Francesca Mattioli W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Luciana Perry W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Theadora Rabman W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Maya Iyengar W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Hiroko Kuwata W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Noelia Zeballos W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Camila Markus W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 05/06 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martina Capurro Taborda vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez?
Our model gives 70% to Martina Capurro Taborda, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.