Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 19/07, 18:00
Prediction: Federico Bondioli vs Max Alcala Gurri
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Bondioli
Max Alcala Gurri
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Bondioli
4-6 (W-L)
Max Alcala Gurri
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Bondioli 1554 · Max Alcala Gurri 1566
| Federico Bondioli | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Federico Bondioli | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12 | 12-8.6 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 34.7% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Bondioli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Adam Walton ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Max Alcala Gurri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Bondioli vs Max Alcala Gurri?
Our model gives 59% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.