Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 17/07, 14:00
Prediction: Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondioli
Prediction summary
Winner
Sumit Nagal
Federico Bondioli
Estimated games
24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sumit Nagal
5-5 (W-L)
Federico Bondioli
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sumit Nagal
0–1
Federico Bondioli
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sumit Nagal 1552 · Federico Bondioli 1530
| Sumit Nagal | Federico Bondioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Sumit Nagal 0–1 Federico Bondioli (1).
Statistics
| Sumit Nagal | Federico Bondioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-11.4 | 12.8-13.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 31.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5
H2H · Sumit Nagal 0 – 1 Federico Bondioli (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sumit Nagal 0–1 Federico Bondioli
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/26 Challenger Naples | 1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sumit Nagal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 01/06 | Mariano Kestelboim Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 29/05 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Federico Bondioli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Adam Walton ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 11/06 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondioli?
Our model gives 55% to Sumit Nagal, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.