Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 18/07, 15:30
Prediction: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Alcala Gurri
Gonzalo Villanueva
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Max Alcala Gurri
7-3 (W-L)
Gonzalo Villanueva
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Alcala Gurri 1562 · Gonzalo Villanueva 1591
| Max Alcala Gurri | Gonzalo Villanueva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Max Alcala Gurri | Gonzalo Villanueva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-7.8 | 12.9-8.6 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Alcala Gurri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Gonzalo Villanueva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/07 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Giammarco Gandolfi Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 06/07 | Lorenzo Bocchi Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Jozef Kovalik Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 28/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva?
Our model gives 56% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.