Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 17/07, 10:00
Prediction: Max Alcala Gurri vs Franco Roncadelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Alcala Gurri
Franco Roncadelli
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Max Alcala Gurri
7-3 (W-L)
Franco Roncadelli
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Alcala Gurri 1553 · Franco Roncadelli 1482
| Max Alcala Gurri | Franco Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Alcala Gurri (rating 1553 vs 1482).
- Max Alcala Gurri is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Max Alcala Gurri | Franco Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.8 | 11.2-12.4 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Alcala Gurri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Franco Roncadelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Dane Sweeny Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Peter Fajta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 16/05 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Alcala Gurri vs Franco Roncadelli?
Our model gives 60% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.