Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 18/07, 17:30
Prediction: Matyas Fuele vs Federico Bondioli
Prediction summary
Winner
Matyas Fuele
Federico Bondioli
Estimated games
24.7
Recent form · 10 last
Matyas Fuele
5-5 (W-L)
Federico Bondioli
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matyas Fuele 1586 · Federico Bondioli 1542
| Matyas Fuele | Federico Bondioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matyas Fuele (rating 1586 vs 1542).
- Note: Matyas Fuele makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Matyas Fuele | Federico Bondioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-10.9 | 13-13.2 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 32.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matyas Fuele
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/07 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 12/07 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Denis Petak M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Alexander Wagner M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/05 | Josip Simundza M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 30/05 | Nikola Djosic M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 29/05 | Gerard Campana Lee M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Federico Bondioli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Adam Walton ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matyas Fuele vs Federico Bondioli?
Our model gives 60% to Federico Bondioli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.