Tennis · M15 Castelo Branco · 19/07, 12:30
Prediction: Pablo Perez Ramos vs Tiago Cacao
Prediction summary
Winner
Pablo Perez Ramos
Tiago Cacao
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Pablo Perez Ramos
7-3 (W-L)
Tiago Cacao
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pablo Perez Ramos 1562 · Tiago Cacao 1514
| Pablo Perez Ramos | Tiago Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pablo Perez Ramos (rating 1562 vs 1514).
Statistics
| Pablo Perez Ramos | Tiago Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.3 | 12.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 57.4% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pablo Perez Ramos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Diogo Morais M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 15/07 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Karol Malirz M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/05 | Patrick Schoen M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Tiago Cacao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Goncalo Marques M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Francisco Rocha M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Matthias Uwe Kask M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Karan Singh M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Goncalo Marques M25 Loule · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/04 | Joao Domingues M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
1-1 | 11-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pablo Perez Ramos vs Tiago Cacao?
Our model gives 51% to Pablo Perez Ramos, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.