Tennis · M15 Castelo Branco · 16/07, 11:00
Prediction: Samuel De Felipe Garcia vs Goncalo Marques
Prediction summary
Winner
Samuel De Felipe Garcia
Goncalo Marques
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Samuel De Felipe Garcia
7-3 (W-L)
Goncalo Marques
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samuel De Felipe Garcia 1512 · Goncalo Marques 1546
| Samuel De Felipe Garcia | Goncalo Marques | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Samuel De Felipe Garcia | Goncalo Marques | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.6 | 11.3-9.3 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 56.3% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuel De Felipe Garcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Marcos Castro Fabra M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Francisco Faria M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Jeffrey Fradkin M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 11/06 | Dan Added M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Jose Dominguez Alonso M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Nikola Djukic Valera M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Cyril Vandermeersch M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 18/05 | Zachary Mintz M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 13/05 | Evgeny Philippov M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
1-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 18/03 | Joaquin Bianchi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
Goncalo Marques
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Joao Domingues M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Emile Hudd M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Francisco Rocha M25 Porto |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Jeffrey Fradkin M25 Porto |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Kaipo Marshall M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuel De Felipe Garcia vs Goncalo Marques?
Our model gives 66% to Goncalo Marques, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.