Tennis · M15 Castelo Branco · 17/07, 11:00
Prediction: Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs Pablo Perez Ramos
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Pablo Perez Ramos
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
6-4 (W-L)
Pablo Perez Ramos
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael Izquierdo Luque 1522 · Pablo Perez Ramos 1568
| Rafael Izquierdo Luque | Pablo Perez Ramos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pablo Perez Ramos (rating 1522 vs 1568).
Statistics
| Rafael Izquierdo Luque | Pablo Perez Ramos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.1 | 12.5-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Joao Dinis Silva M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Diogo Morais M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Dan Added M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Thomas Miranda M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Gabriele Piraino M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 04/06 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Pablo Perez Ramos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Diogo Morais M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 15/07 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Karol Malirz M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/05 | Patrick Schoen M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Stefan Cooper M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/05 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs Pablo Perez Ramos?
Our model gives 52% to Rafael Izquierdo Luque, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.