Tennis · M15 Castelo Branco · 17/07, 11:00
Prediction: Maxwell McKennon vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxwell McKennon
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Maxwell McKennon
7-3 (W-L)
Pavlos Tsitsipas
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxwell McKennon 1514 · Pavlos Tsitsipas 1535
| Maxwell McKennon | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maxwell McKennon makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Pavlos Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Maxwell McKennon | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-7.2 | 12.4-12 |
| Aces | 4 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 75.3% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 39.4% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxwell McKennon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Luke Hooper M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Goncalo Marques M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 24/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Porto |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Haydar Cem Gokpinar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Rafael De Alba M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Felix Roussel M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/06 | Mert Naci Turker M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Rodrigo Leal M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Vasco L Prata M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Aren Baybars M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Bryan Hernandez Cortes M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 06/07 | Yeray Andres Pastor M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/07 | David Naharro M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxwell McKennon vs Pavlos Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 63% to Maxwell McKennon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.