Tennis · WTA Rome · 18/07, 16:00
Prediction: Lucia Bronzetti vs Nuria Brancaccio
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucia Bronzetti
Nuria Brancaccio
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lucia Bronzetti
6-4 (W-L)
Nuria Brancaccio
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucia Bronzetti
2–1
Nuria Brancaccio
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucia Bronzetti 1585 · Nuria Brancaccio 1539
| Lucia Bronzetti | Nuria Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucia Bronzetti (rating 1585 vs 1539).
- Head-to-head: Lucia Bronzetti 2–1 Nuria Brancaccio (3).
Statistics
| Lucia Bronzetti | Nuria Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10 | 10.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Lucia Bronzetti 2 – 1 Nuria Brancaccio (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucia Bronzetti 2–1 Nuria Brancaccio
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/26 WTA Modena | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/03/26 WTA Antalya | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/07/21 ITF W25 Torino | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucia Bronzetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Alessandra Mazzola WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Georgina Garcia-Perez W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Lina Gjorcheska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Justina Mikulskyte Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Maddison Inglis Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/06 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/06 | Laura Samsonova WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Nuria Brancaccio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Julia Riera WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Eva Vedder WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Jessica Pieri WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 12/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Victoria Bosio WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucia Bronzetti vs Nuria Brancaccio?
Our model gives 58% to Lucia Bronzetti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.