Tennis · WTA Rome · 18/07, 17:30
Prediction: Martina Trevisan vs Francesca Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Martina Trevisan
Francesca Jones
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Martina Trevisan
5-5 (W-L)
Francesca Jones
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martina Trevisan 1535 · Francesca Jones 1514
| Martina Trevisan | Francesca Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Martina Trevisan makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Martina Trevisan | Francesca Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8.8 | 10.6-11 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 46.9% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martina Trevisan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Julia Riera W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Katerina Tsygourova W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Victoria Pohle W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | Ania Hertel W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/06 | Taylor Townsend WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Carole Monnet WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Dominika Salkova WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Francesca Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Federica Urgesi WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Alice Rame WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Diane Parry Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Laura Siegemund WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Marie Bouzkova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martina Trevisan vs Francesca Jones?
Our model gives 54% to Francesca Jones, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.