Prediction: Deborah Chiesa vs Lucia Bronzetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Deborah Chiesa
Lucia Bronzetti
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Deborah Chiesa
6-4 (W-L)
Lucia Bronzetti
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Deborah Chiesa
2–0
Lucia Bronzetti
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deborah Chiesa 1618 · Lucia Bronzetti 1585
| Deborah Chiesa | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Deborah Chiesa 2–0 Lucia Bronzetti (2).
Statistics
| Deborah Chiesa | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-7 | 11.4-9.5 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Deborah Chiesa 2 – 0 Lucia Bronzetti (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deborah Chiesa 2–0 Lucia Bronzetti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/18 ITF Women Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/12/16 ITF Women Ortisei | 2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deborah Chiesa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/06 | Radka Zelnickova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/06 | Aneta Laboutkova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Selena Janicijevic W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Mia Ristic WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Ekaterina Kazionova WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Lucia Bronzetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Alessandra Mazzola WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Georgina Garcia-Perez W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Lina Gjorcheska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Justina Mikulskyte Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Maddison Inglis Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/06 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/06 | Laura Samsonova WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deborah Chiesa vs Lucia Bronzetti?
Our model gives 54% to Lucia Bronzetti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.