Prediction: Francesca Jones vs Noma Noha Akugue
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Jones
Noma Noha Akugue
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Jones
2-8 (W-L)
Noma Noha Akugue
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francesca Jones
1–0
Noma Noha Akugue
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Jones 1503 · Noma Noha Akugue 1521
| Francesca Jones | Noma Noha Akugue | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Francesca Jones 1–0 Noma Noha Akugue (1).
- Note: Noma Noha Akugue makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Jones | Noma Noha Akugue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-12 | 11.7-11.6 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 37.1% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Francesca Jones 1 – 0 Noma Noha Akugue (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesca Jones 1–0 Noma Noha Akugue
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/25 WTA Oeiras | 2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Jones
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Federica Urgesi WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Alice Rame WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Diane Parry Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Laura Siegemund WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Marie Bouzkova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Beatriz Haddad Maia French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Noma Noha Akugue
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Darya Astakhova WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 13/07 | Alice Rame WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Katherine Sebov Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Lisa Pigato Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Jones vs Noma Noha Akugue?
Our model gives 55% to Francesca Jones, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.