Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 18/07, 02:00
Prediction: Belle Thompson vs Natsuki Yoshimoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Belle Thompson
Natsuki Yoshimoto
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Belle Thompson
6-4 (W-L)
Natsuki Yoshimoto
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Belle Thompson 1556 · Natsuki Yoshimoto 1560
| Belle Thompson | Natsuki Yoshimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Natsuki Yoshimoto makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Belle Thompson | Natsuki Yoshimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.4 | 13.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belle Thompson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Alana Subasic W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 16/07 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Eva Lopez W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Caterina Odorizzi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Mariia Nozdrachova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Fangran Tian W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Gabriela M Vancea W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 21/06 | Erika Abraham-Nilsen W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Anna Kubareva W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Celia Anson Sanchez W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Natsuki Yoshimoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Lily Taylor W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Himari Sato W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Jizelle Sibai W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Ikumi Yamazaki W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Gaeul Jang W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/06 | Cherry Kim W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Hiromi Abe W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Sae Noguchi W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/05 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Kurea Hayasaka W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belle Thompson vs Natsuki Yoshimoto?
Our model gives 69% to Natsuki Yoshimoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.