Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 24/07, 04:00
Prediction: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto
Prediction summary
Winner
I Wen Wan
Natsuki Yoshimoto
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
I Wen Wan
8-2 (W-L)
Natsuki Yoshimoto
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · I Wen Wan 1560 · Natsuki Yoshimoto 1537
| I Wen Wan | Natsuki Yoshimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| I Wen Wan | Natsuki Yoshimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-7.1 | 13.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
I Wen Wan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Amy Stevens W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Angel Warang W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Evialina Laskevich W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Jiangxue Han W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Siana MacDonald Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 18/06 | Nigina Alimova Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Yuhansa Peiris Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Daania Daniella Hazli Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/06 | Yanan Hou W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Natsuki Yoshimoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/07 | Mana Kawamura W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/07 | Belle Thompson W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Lily Taylor W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Himari Sato W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Jizelle Sibai W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Ikumi Yamazaki W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Gaeul Jang W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/06 | Cherry Kim W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Hiromi Abe W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto?
Our model gives 62% to Natsuki Yoshimoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.