Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 28/07, 02:00
Prediction: Violet Apisah vs Lily Fairclough
Team pages: Lily Fairclough
Prediction summary
Winner
Violet Apisah
Lily Fairclough
Estimated games
18.9
Recent form · 10 last
Violet Apisah
10-0 (W-L)
Lily Fairclough
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Violet Apisah 1605 · Lily Fairclough 1531
| Violet Apisah | Lily Fairclough | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Violet Apisah (rating 1605 vs 1531).
- Violet Apisah is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Violet Apisah | Lily Fairclough | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (6) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.2 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-3.9 | 9.9-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 60.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Violet Apisah
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Aliya Vongdala Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 18/06 | Tennielle Madis Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Sue Yan Tan Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Kallista Liu Billie Jean King Cup |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/11 | Stanislava Bobrovnikova UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/11 | Valerie Shue UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/11 | Ishika Ashar UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/11 | Alexia Patru UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 11/11 | Rose Biria UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/11 | Rachel Gailis UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Lily Fairclough
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Natsuho Arakawa W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Carolann Delaunay W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 8-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Stefani Webb W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Jasmine Adams W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Eduarda Piai UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Sabritt Dozier UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Emily Meng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Ayana Akli W35 Rome |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Maria Kononova W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Salma Ewing W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Violet Apisah vs Lily Fairclough?
Our model gives 50% to Violet Apisah, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.