Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 23/07, 02:00
Prediction: Amy Stevens vs I Wen Wan
Prediction summary
Winner
Amy Stevens
I Wen Wan
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Amy Stevens
6-4 (W-L)
I Wen Wan
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amy Stevens 1476 · I Wen Wan 1568
| Amy Stevens | I Wen Wan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours I Wen Wan (rating 1476 vs 1568).
- I Wen Wan is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Amy Stevens makes many double faults (9.2/match).
Statistics
| Amy Stevens | I Wen Wan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.5 | 10.5-6 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 9.2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.7% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 58.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amy Stevens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Himari Sato W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Oceane Dodin W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Zoe Ulrich W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Tamara Bachmann W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Michelle Kelly Tikhonko W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Georgiana Ruhrig UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 06/05 | Belle Thompson UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
I Wen Wan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Angel Warang W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Evialina Laskevich W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Jiangxue Han W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Siana MacDonald Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 18/06 | Nigina Alimova Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Yuhansa Peiris Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Daania Daniella Hazli Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/06 | Yanan Hou W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 31/05 | Zongyu Li W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amy Stevens vs I Wen Wan?
Our model gives 74% to I Wen Wan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.