Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 23/07, 02:00
Prediction: Mutsumi Uemura vs Natsuki Yoshimoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Mutsumi Uemura
Natsuki Yoshimoto
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mutsumi Uemura
7-3 (W-L)
Natsuki Yoshimoto
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mutsumi Uemura 1527 · Natsuki Yoshimoto 1548
| Mutsumi Uemura | Natsuki Yoshimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Natsuki Yoshimoto makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Mutsumi Uemura | Natsuki Yoshimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8.8 | 13.3-11 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 70.5% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mutsumi Uemura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Rianna Alame W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Belle Thompson W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 14/07 | I Wen Wan W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Rira Kosaka W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Sae Noguchi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Yuhan Liu W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Stefani Webb W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Tsuki Shibutani W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Eri Shimizu W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/06 | Yingqun Sun W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Natsuki Yoshimoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Mana Kawamura W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/07 | Belle Thompson W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Lily Taylor W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Himari Sato W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Jizelle Sibai W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Ikumi Yamazaki W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Gaeul Jang W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/06 | Cherry Kim W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Hiromi Abe W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Sae Noguchi W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mutsumi Uemura vs Natsuki Yoshimoto?
Our model gives 66% to Natsuki Yoshimoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.