Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 22/07, 05:00
Prediction: Belle Thompson vs Tori Russell
Prediction summary
Winner
Belle Thompson
Tori Russell
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Belle Thompson
6-4 (W-L)
Tori Russell
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Belle Thompson 1546 · Tori Russell 1533
| Belle Thompson | Tori Russell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Belle Thompson | Tori Russell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.2 | 11-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belle Thompson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Alana Subasic W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 16/07 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Eva Lopez W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Caterina Odorizzi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Mariia Nozdrachova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Fangran Tian W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Gabriela M Vancea W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 21/06 | Erika Abraham-Nilsen W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Tori Russell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Fang An Lin W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Shiho Shibata W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Grace Cadwallader W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/02 | Ying Zhang W75 Brisbane |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/02 | Sarah Rokusek W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/02 | Alicia Smith W75 Brisbane Qual |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 02/02 | Chengyiyi Yuan W75 Brisbane |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/02 | Rianna Alame W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/01 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Adelaide · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belle Thompson vs Tori Russell?
Our model gives 51% to Belle Thompson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.