Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 17/07, 09:00
Prediction: Davide Tortora vs Nikita Belozertsev
Prediction summary
Winner
Davide Tortora
Nikita Belozertsev
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Davide Tortora
6-4 (W-L)
Nikita Belozertsev
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Davide Tortora 1521 · Nikita Belozertsev 1534
| Davide Tortora | Nikita Belozertsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nikita Belozertsev makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Davide Tortora | Nikita Belozertsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.3 | 10.2-9.1 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Davide Tortora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Jorge Plans M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Niccolo Baroni M15 Store |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Attila Dominik Boros M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Store |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Jeremy Schifris M15 Store |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/05 | Roberto Cid Subervi M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 12/05 | Tygen Goldammer M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-7 | W |
| 30/04 | Keaton Hance M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Andreas Scott M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/04 | Cannon Kingsley M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Nikita Belozertsev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Alejandro Melero Kretzer M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Andrej Radojicic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Romain Faucon Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 21/06 | Anas Mazdrashki Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Alexander Bernard M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 12/06 | John Sperle M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Adam Jilly M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Simeon Stankovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Davide Tortora vs Nikita Belozertsev?
Our model gives 55% to Nikita Belozertsev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.